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2024-12-14 04:35:33

On December 10th, the Great Hall of the People in Beijing met with the heads of major international economic organizations who came to China to attend the "1+10" Dialogue, expressing full confidence in achieving this year's economic growth target and continuing to play the role of the biggest engine of world economic growth.Shanghai heavy releaseAfter the exchange rate rushed to 7.314, it began to fluctuate and weaken. As we have told you many times before, the vicinity of 7.3 is heavily guarded, and the depreciation in this area is almost in place, and there is no room for further sharp depreciation. Some time ago, around 7.3, the market began to get nervous. Instead, we clearly told everyone that this was a good thing, because the direct depreciation was in place, and the subsequent appreciation expectation was formed. From the current situation, it is really difficult for the exchange rate to weaken further. At present, the daily level has entered a short-term adjustment trend, but we should focus on observing whether it can fall below 7.258 this week. Only when it falls below, the medium-term depreciation momentum can be ended, otherwise it will be repeated.


Although the trend of the market today is very ugly, there are some positive signs. First, it has not yet fallen below the daily offensive line, and the offensive line is still upward, so the market will continue to rebound. Secondly, it has broken through the daily pressure level today, which is also the first time in the near future, and it can be regarded as a breakthrough. Then today, the quantity and energy are also very obvious, and there is nothing to worry about if there is quantity and energy. Tomorrow, the offensive line will continue to move up and will be close to today's closing point, so tomorrow's trend is very important for the short-term trend. It can be said that it can only go up but not down. If it falls, the short-term trend will weaken. If we can hold the offensive line tomorrow, there is still a possibility that the market will rebound. After all, the current market is still in a state of high control. The main players are deeply involved and have the ability to control the disk, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic about tomorrow's trend for the time being. Pay attention to the competition around 3410 points. If you hold on, the short-term problem is not very big.Statement of work: Personal opinion, for reference only.On December 10th, the Great Hall of the People in Beijing met with the heads of major international economic organizations who came to China to attend the "1+10" Dialogue, expressing full confidence in achieving this year's economic growth target and continuing to play the role of the biggest engine of world economic growth.


Thanks to the huge favorable blessing, today's market is once again anticlimactic, which once again disappoints retail investors. It is not surprising to say that the accident is not once or twice. But objectively speaking, this positive is indeed a real positive, and it is a medium-and long-term positive. I think we still have to treat it rationally, and institutions need to understand and reflect well. Is it necessary to go its own way? Today's trend can be said to be very ugly, so will the market have a big repair tomorrow? Let's analyze it in detail below.Analysis of exchange rate trendThe securities sector is still the key to tomorrow. Today, it is also high and low. At present, it has not fallen below the offensive line, and the short-term trend remains intact. If it falls again tomorrow, it will fall below the offensive line, and the short-term trend will initially weaken. We should pay attention to short-term risks and control our positions.

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